**Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has climbed steadily in 2026 polling and frequently leads or ties Likud at 22–25 projected seats.** Recent surveys from July–September show it drawing support from voters dissatisfied with the governing coalition’s handling of security and governance issues since the October 7 attacks, while the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near but short of a 61-seat majority without Arab parties. Fragmentation among opposition lists—including Together (Bennett-Lapid) and smaller centrist or right-leaning entrants—keeps individual tallies volatile and prevents any single party from pulling decisively ahead. Threshold dynamics, potential late alliances, and security or economic developments in the final weeks before the October 27 election remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s seat range in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
30+ 49%
24-25 22%
26-27 19%
28-29 17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
8%
20-21
13%
22-23
14%
24-25
26%
26-27
19%
28-29
10%
30+
38%
30+ 49%
24-25 22%
26-27 19%
28-29 17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$81 Vol.
8%
20-21
$196 Vol.
13%
22-23
$189 Vol.
14%
24-25
$149 Vol.
26%
26-27
$104 Vol.
19%
28-29
$79 Vol.
10%
30+
$459 Vol.
38%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has climbed steadily in 2026 polling and frequently leads or ties Likud at 22–25 projected seats.** Recent surveys from July–September show it drawing support from voters dissatisfied with the governing coalition’s handling of security and governance issues since the October 7 attacks, while the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near but short of a 61-seat majority without Arab parties. Fragmentation among opposition lists—including Together (Bennett-Lapid) and smaller centrist or right-leaning entrants—keeps individual tallies volatile and prevents any single party from pulling decisively ahead. Threshold dynamics, potential late alliances, and security or economic developments in the final weeks before the October 27 election remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s seat range in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,257End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has climbed steadily in 2026 polling and frequently leads or ties Likud at 22–25 projected seats.** Recent surveys from July–September show it drawing support from voters dissatisfied with the governing coalition’s handling of security and governance issues since the October 7 attacks, while the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near but short of a 61-seat majority without Arab parties. Fragmentation among opposition lists—including Together (Bennett-Lapid) and smaller centrist or right-leaning entrants—keeps individual tallies volatile and prevents any single party from pulling decisively ahead. Threshold dynamics, potential late alliances, and security or economic developments in the final weeks before the October 27 election remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s seat range in trader assessments.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,257End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has climbed steadily in 2026 polling and frequently leads or ties Likud at 22–25 projected seats.** Recent surveys from July–September show it drawing support from voters dissatisfied with the governing coalition’s handling of security and governance issues since the October 7 attacks, while the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near but short of a 61-seat majority without Arab parties. Fragmentation among opposition lists—including Together (Bennett-Lapid) and smaller centrist or right-leaning entrants—keeps individual tallies volatile and prevents any single party from pulling decisively ahead. Threshold dynamics, potential late alliances, and security or economic developments in the final weeks before the October 27 election remain the main variables that could widen or narrow Yashar’s seat range in trader assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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