Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
Elections·Middle East

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

icon for Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
Elections·Middle East

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

30+ 49%

24-25 22%

26-27 19%

22-23 15%

Polymarket
NEW

30+ 49%

24-25 22%

26-27 19%

22-23 15%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$81 Vol.

6%

20-21

$196 Vol.

12%

22-23

$189 Vol.

15%

24-25

$149 Vol.

22%

26-27

$104 Vol.

19%

28-29

$79 Vol.

9%

30+

$459 Vol.

39%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in September 2025, has climbed steadily in opinion polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, frequently matching or surpassing Likud at 21-24 seats while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or above 60. Recent surveys through early September show Yashar averaging 22-24 seats amid ongoing security debates, coalition fatigue, and competition from the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance, with smaller right-wing lists and threshold dynamics affecting seat distribution. Traders assign the highest probability to 30+ seats, reflecting scenarios where Eisenkot consolidates centrist and security-focused voters, though narrower outcomes around 24-27 remain competitive given polling margins and potential last-minute shifts from events like candidate list finalization or regional developments.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,257
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party founded by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot in September 2025, has climbed steadily in opinion polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, frequently matching or surpassing Likud at 21-24 seats while the opposition Zionist bloc hovers near or above 60. Recent surveys through early September show Yashar averaging 22-24 seats amid ongoing security debates, coalition fatigue, and competition from the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance, with smaller right-wing lists and threshold dynamics affecting seat distribution. Traders assign the highest probability to 30+ seats, reflecting scenarios where Eisenkot consolidates centrist and security-focused voters, though narrower outcomes around 24-27 remain competitive given polling margins and potential last-minute shifts from events like candidate list finalization or regional developments.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,257
End Date
Nov 30, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

39%
icon for Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Will Joint List win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

54%
icon for Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

35%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30+" at 39%, followed by "24-25" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?" is "30+" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "24-25" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.