Otzma Yehudit’s projected seat totals remain closely contested between the 6-7 and 8-9 ranges because recent polling averages place the party in that band, reflecting steady but limited gains from Likud and Shas voters drawn to its hardline security stance. Party leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has focused on broadening appeal beyond the religious-Zionist base while rejecting a joint list with Religious Zionism, whose own threshold struggles could indirectly affect right-bloc dynamics. The addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to the slate and ongoing list finalization ahead of the September 8 deadline introduce modest uncertainty, as does competition for nationalist support within Netanyahu’s broader coalition. Trader consensus assigns roughly equal weight to the two leading bins because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among right-wing factions could easily separate the outcomes before the October 27 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Otzma # of seats?
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
8-9 32%
6-7 31%
4-5 18%
10+ 16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
8%
4-5
18%
6-7
35%
8-9
32%
10+
16%
8-9 32%
6-7 31%
4-5 18%
10+ 16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$317 Vol.
8%
4-5
$0 Vol.
18%
6-7
$19 Vol.
35%
8-9
$0 Vol.
32%
10+
$0 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Otzma Yehudit’s projected seat totals remain closely contested between the 6-7 and 8-9 ranges because recent polling averages place the party in that band, reflecting steady but limited gains from Likud and Shas voters drawn to its hardline security stance. Party leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has focused on broadening appeal beyond the religious-Zionist base while rejecting a joint list with Religious Zionism, whose own threshold struggles could indirectly affect right-bloc dynamics. The addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to the slate and ongoing list finalization ahead of the September 8 deadline introduce modest uncertainty, as does competition for nationalist support within Netanyahu’s broader coalition. Trader consensus assigns roughly equal weight to the two leading bins because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among right-wing factions could easily separate the outcomes before the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$335End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Otzma Yehudit’s projected seat totals remain closely contested between the 6-7 and 8-9 ranges because recent polling averages place the party in that band, reflecting steady but limited gains from Likud and Shas voters drawn to its hardline security stance. Party leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has focused on broadening appeal beyond the religious-Zionist base while rejecting a joint list with Religious Zionism, whose own threshold struggles could indirectly affect right-bloc dynamics. The addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to the slate and ongoing list finalization ahead of the September 8 deadline introduce modest uncertainty, as does competition for nationalist support within Netanyahu’s broader coalition. Trader consensus assigns roughly equal weight to the two leading bins because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among right-wing factions could easily separate the outcomes before the October 27 election.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$335End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Otzma Yehudit’s projected seat totals remain closely contested between the 6-7 and 8-9 ranges because recent polling averages place the party in that band, reflecting steady but limited gains from Likud and Shas voters drawn to its hardline security stance. Party leader Itamar Ben-Gvir has focused on broadening appeal beyond the religious-Zionist base while rejecting a joint list with Religious Zionism, whose own threshold struggles could indirectly affect right-bloc dynamics. The addition of Likud MK Tally Gotliv to the slate and ongoing list finalization ahead of the September 8 deadline introduce modest uncertainty, as does competition for nationalist support within Netanyahu’s broader coalition. Trader consensus assigns roughly equal weight to the two leading bins because small shifts in turnout or late voter movement among right-wing factions could easily separate the outcomes before the October 27 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions