**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 8, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local observations, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of light rain or drizzle that limit solar heating. This aligns with the current synoptic pattern of cooler, moist air advection following recent frontal activity. Official station readings and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking around 25°C before evening showers. A shift to clearer skies or reduced wind speeds could allow modest additional warming toward 26–27°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the entrenched overcast conditions and precipitation probability exceeding 50% through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 8?
25°C 99.5%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.5%
27°C <1%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 8, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple meteorological sources, including GFS-based forecasts and local observations, indicate a daytime maximum near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h, and periods of light rain or drizzle that limit solar heating. This aligns with the current synoptic pattern of cooler, moist air advection following recent frontal activity. Official station readings and model consensus show afternoon temperatures peaking around 25°C before evening showers. A shift to clearer skies or reduced wind speeds could allow modest additional warming toward 26–27°C, though such deviations appear unlikely given the entrenched overcast conditions and precipitation probability exceeding 50% through the afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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