Recent forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Jeddah on September 10 likely between 36–38°C under stable hot, humid conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Early September observations show daily maxima averaging 36–38°C, consistent with seasonal norms and lacking major atmospheric shifts such as stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could suppress highs. Model consensus points to minimal day-to-day variability through mid-month, with no active weather systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 10?
37°C 40%
38°C 28%
36°C 19%
39°C or higher 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
19%
37°C
40%
38°C
28%
39°C or higher
11%
37°C 40%
38°C 28%
36°C 19%
39°C or higher 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
19%
37°C
40%
38°C
28%
39°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models indicate peak temperatures in Jeddah on September 10 likely between 36–38°C under stable hot, humid conditions with light westerly winds and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Early September observations show daily maxima averaging 36–38°C, consistent with seasonal norms and lacking major atmospheric shifts such as stronger onshore flow or cloud cover that could suppress highs. Model consensus points to minimal day-to-day variability through mid-month, with no active weather systems expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine these projections over the next 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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