Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and surface pressure near 1025 hPa that supports modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C. These conditions limit both strong insolation and significant cloud cover or precipitation, keeping the peak temperature in a narrow range consistent with recent days' observations near 22–23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59% implied probability for 22°C and 27% for 23°C, aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of deviations from stable autumnal patterns. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 60%
23°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
$44,659 Vol.
$44,659 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
60%
23°C
28%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 60%
23°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
$44,659 Vol.
$44,659 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$27,165 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$534 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,946 Vol.
2%
21°C
$3,069 Vol.
12%
22°C
$3,481 Vol.
60%
23°C
$4,448 Vol.
28%
24°C
$2,362 Vol.
5%
25°C
$428 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$591 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and surface pressure near 1025 hPa that supports modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C. These conditions limit both strong insolation and significant cloud cover or precipitation, keeping the peak temperature in a narrow range consistent with recent days' observations near 22–23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59% implied probability for 22°C and 27% for 23°C, aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of deviations from stable autumnal patterns. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,659End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and surface pressure near 1025 hPa that supports modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C. These conditions limit both strong insolation and significant cloud cover or precipitation, keeping the peak temperature in a narrow range consistent with recent days' observations near 22–23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59% implied probability for 22°C and 27% for 23°C, aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of deviations from stable autumnal patterns. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,659End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a daily maximum of 22–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly winds of 10–15 mph, partly cloudy skies, and surface pressure near 1025 hPa that supports modest daytime warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.2°C. These conditions limit both strong insolation and significant cloud cover or precipitation, keeping the peak temperature in a narrow range consistent with recent days' observations near 22–23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 59% implied probability for 22°C and 27% for 23°C, aligns with this model agreement and the low likelihood of deviations from stable autumnal patterns. Updated model runs later today could refine the exact peak if boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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