Jon Ossoff’s position as the Democratic incumbent in a competitive state, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points and a substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Recent surveys through mid-August show him ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins, who secured his party’s nomination in the June runoff, with Ossoff performing particularly well among independents, moderates, and key demographic groups. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning or likely Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in the national political environment, unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters, late-campaign events, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate’s standing before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$123,749 Vol.
$123,749 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
94%
Mike Collins (R)
6%
$123,749 Vol.
$123,749 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jon Ossoff (D)
$49,270 Vol.
94%
Mike Collins (R)
$74,478 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jon Ossoff’s position as the Democratic incumbent in a competitive state, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points and a substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Recent surveys through mid-August show him ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins, who secured his party’s nomination in the June runoff, with Ossoff performing particularly well among independents, moderates, and key demographic groups. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning or likely Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in the national political environment, unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters, late-campaign events, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate’s standing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$123,749End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Jon Ossoff’s position as the Democratic incumbent in a competitive state, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points and a substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Recent surveys through mid-August show him ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins, who secured his party’s nomination in the June runoff, with Ossoff performing particularly well among independents, moderates, and key demographic groups. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning or likely Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in the national political environment, unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters, late-campaign events, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate’s standing before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$123,749End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Ossoff’s position as the Democratic incumbent in a competitive state, backed by consistent polling leads of roughly seven to eight points and a substantial fundraising advantage, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Recent surveys through mid-August show him ahead of Republican nominee Mike Collins, who secured his party’s nomination in the June runoff, with Ossoff performing particularly well among independents, moderates, and key demographic groups. Forecasters rate the November 3 contest as leaning or likely Democratic. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include shifts in the national political environment, unexpected turnout surges among Republican voters, late-campaign events, or unforeseen developments affecting either candidate’s standing before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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