Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Lois Frankel shifted districts. Casey Askar secured the Republican nomination in an August 18 primary against a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, citing the map changes and absence of an incumbent. Traders price the Republican edge at 56.5% versus 42.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's structural lean, primary results, and limited polling that shows a competitive but GOP-favored contest heading into the final campaign stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
43%
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,810 Vol.
56%
Democratic Party
$17,525 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Lois Frankel shifted districts. Casey Askar secured the Republican nomination in an August 18 primary against a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, citing the map changes and absence of an incumbent. Traders price the Republican edge at 56.5% versus 42.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's structural lean, primary results, and limited polling that shows a competitive but GOP-favored contest heading into the final campaign stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$40,334End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Lois Frankel shifted districts. Casey Askar secured the Republican nomination in an August 18 primary against a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, citing the map changes and absence of an incumbent. Traders price the Republican edge at 56.5% versus 42.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's structural lean, primary results, and limited polling that shows a competitive but GOP-favored contest heading into the final campaign stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,334End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 22nd congressional district, redrawn in 2026 to carry an R+4 partisan voting index, features an open seat after incumbent Lois Frankel shifted districts. Casey Askar secured the Republican nomination in an August 18 primary against a crowded field, while Pia Dandiya won the Democratic primary decisively. Major forecasters rate the November 3 general election Lean Republican or Tilt Republican, citing the map changes and absence of an incumbent. Traders price the Republican edge at 56.5% versus 42.5% for Democrats, reflecting the district's structural lean, primary results, and limited polling that shows a competitive but GOP-favored contest heading into the final campaign stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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