Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd's position in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District underpins the Republican edge in trader pricing. The district's conservative lean, reflected in ratings such as Cook Political Report's Likely Republican designation, favors the GOP in a midterm cycle. Hurd secured the nomination comfortably in the June 30, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Ron Hanks, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his party's contest. Recent polling averages and historical voting patterns in the Western Slope and southern Colorado counties reinforce expectations of a Republican hold, though the general election on November 3 leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or national conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCO-03 House Election Winner
CO-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,352 Vol.
65%
Democratic Party
$5,577 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd's position in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District underpins the Republican edge in trader pricing. The district's conservative lean, reflected in ratings such as Cook Political Report's Likely Republican designation, favors the GOP in a midterm cycle. Hurd secured the nomination comfortably in the June 30, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Ron Hanks, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his party's contest. Recent polling averages and historical voting patterns in the Western Slope and southern Colorado counties reinforce expectations of a Republican hold, though the general election on November 3 leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volume
$7,929End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd's position in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District underpins the Republican edge in trader pricing. The district's conservative lean, reflected in ratings such as Cook Political Report's Likely Republican designation, favors the GOP in a midterm cycle. Hurd secured the nomination comfortably in the June 30, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Ron Hanks, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his party's contest. Recent polling averages and historical voting patterns in the Western Slope and southern Colorado counties reinforce expectations of a Republican hold, though the general election on November 3 leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,929End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Hurd's position in Colorado's 3rd Congressional District underpins the Republican edge in trader pricing. The district's conservative lean, reflected in ratings such as Cook Political Report's Likely Republican designation, favors the GOP in a midterm cycle. Hurd secured the nomination comfortably in the June 30, 2026 primary, defeating challenger Ron Hanks, while Democrat Dwayne Romero emerged from his party's contest. Recent polling averages and historical voting patterns in the Western Slope and southern Colorado counties reinforce expectations of a Republican hold, though the general election on November 3 leaves room for shifts tied to turnout or national conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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