Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. She faces narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where she entered a not guilty plea at arraignment. Federal procedure creates a strong presumption against bail for such offenses, and no successful release motions have advanced amid pending defense challenges on head-of-state immunity and capture legality. Hearings through mid-2026 addressed procedural matters without altering custody status, while Venezuela’s interim authorities have called for release without triggering diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders price low odds of near-term freedom given the extended trial timeline into 2027 and limited avenues for pretrial resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,376,351 Vol.
Jan 30, 2026
December 31
13%
$1,376,351 Vol.
December 31
$329,750 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. She faces narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where she entered a not guilty plea at arraignment. Federal procedure creates a strong presumption against bail for such offenses, and no successful release motions have advanced amid pending defense challenges on head-of-state immunity and capture legality. Hearings through mid-2026 addressed procedural matters without altering custody status, while Venezuela’s interim authorities have called for release without triggering diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders price low odds of near-term freedom given the extended trial timeline into 2027 and limited avenues for pretrial resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,376,351End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. She faces narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where she entered a not guilty plea at arraignment. Federal procedure creates a strong presumption against bail for such offenses, and no successful release motions have advanced amid pending defense challenges on head-of-state immunity and capture legality. Hearings through mid-2026 addressed procedural matters without altering custody status, while Venezuela’s interim authorities have called for release without triggering diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders price low odds of near-term freedom given the extended trial timeline into 2027 and limited avenues for pretrial resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,376,351End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores has remained in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Venezuela. She faces narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, where she entered a not guilty plea at arraignment. Federal procedure creates a strong presumption against bail for such offenses, and no successful release motions have advanced amid pending defense challenges on head-of-state immunity and capture legality. Hearings through mid-2026 addressed procedural matters without altering custody status, while Venezuela’s interim authorities have called for release without triggering diplomatic breakthroughs. Traders price low odds of near-term freedom given the extended trial timeline into 2027 and limited avenues for pretrial resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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