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icon for #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?
Tech·AI

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

icon for #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?
Tech·AI

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

#1

#2

#3

#1

#2

#3

OpenAI 98.0%

DeepSeek 1.5%

Anthropic <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket
NEW

OpenAI 98.0%

DeepSeek 1.5%

Anthropic <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$1,052 Vol.

98%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$642 Vol.

2%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$261 Vol.

1%

icon for Google

Google

$870 Vol.

1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$281 Vol.

1%

icon for Tencent

Tencent

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$99 Vol.

1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$354 Vol.

1%

icon for Qwen

Qwen

$281 Vol.

1%

icon for xAI

xAI

$137 Vol.

1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$223 Vol.

1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna and related variants drove the 98% market-implied odds for third place on OpenRouter during the week of August 31–September 6. Recent discounts and feature updates expanded token volume for these models among developers, particularly in agentic and coding workloads, allowing OpenAI to trail only DeepSeek and one Chinese lab while outpacing Tencent, Z.ai, MiniMax, and others. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. model retention on the platform despite broader Chinese open-weight gains. A late-week surge from a competitor’s new release, reporting adjustments in OpenRouter’s market-share data, or sharper pricing shifts could still alter the final ranking before resolution.

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$4,486
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openrouter.ai/rankings

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Luna and related variants drove the 98% market-implied odds for third place on OpenRouter during the week of August 31–September 6. Recent discounts and feature updates expanded token volume for these models among developers, particularly in agentic and coding workloads, allowing OpenAI to trail only DeepSeek and one Chinese lab while outpacing Tencent, Z.ai, MiniMax, and others. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. model retention on the platform despite broader Chinese open-weight gains. A late-week surge from a competitor’s new release, reporting adjustments in OpenRouter’s market-share data, or sharper pricing shifts could still alter the final ranking before resolution.

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".

The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Volume
$4,486
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openrouter.ai/rankings

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI" at 98%, followed by "DeepSeek" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" is "OpenAI" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DeepSeek" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.