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Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?
Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?

Sep 11

Sep 11

ChatGPT 53%

Vinted 14.9%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps 5%

Google Gemini 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 53%

Vinted 14.9%

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps 5%

Google Gemini 2.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$155 Vol.

53%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$70 Vol.

15%

icon for MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps

$499 Vol.

5%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$74 Vol.

2%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$54 Vol.

2%

icon for 7 Brew Coffee

7 Brew Coffee

$49 Vol.

1%

icon for ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

ESPN Fantasy Sports & More

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds a slim 53.5% market-implied edge for the top free US App Store spot on September 11 amid a cluster of outcomes near 50%, underscoring the extreme daily volatility of overall free rankings where viral news, promotions, or cultural events can trigger rapid download surges. Recent data shows MapQuest briefly leading after a backlash-driven spike tied to geographic naming debates, while Vinted sits lower following earlier rating damage from unrelated claims. AI chatbots like ChatGPT benefit from sustained productivity-category strength and large language model engagement, yet face pressure from Gemini and rivals whose capability updates can shift sentiment. Traders price in this uncertainty because historical patterns show even dominant apps like ChatGPT can lose ground to niche utility or event-driven titles within days.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,001
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT holds a slim 53.5% market-implied edge for the top free US App Store spot on September 11 amid a cluster of outcomes near 50%, underscoring the extreme daily volatility of overall free rankings where viral news, promotions, or cultural events can trigger rapid download surges. Recent data shows MapQuest briefly leading after a backlash-driven spike tied to geographic naming debates, while Vinted sits lower following earlier rating damage from unrelated claims. AI chatbots like ChatGPT benefit from sustained productivity-category strength and large language model engagement, yet face pressure from Gemini and rivals whose capability updates can shift sentiment. Traders price in this uncertainty because historical patterns show even dominant apps like ChatGPT can lose ground to niche utility or event-driven titles within days.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,001
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 53%, followed by "Vinted" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" is "ChatGPT" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vinted" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.