**Bipartisan resistance to the administration’s June $87.6 billion supplemental request—primarily $67 billion for Pentagon costs tied to Operation Epic Fury in Iran—combined with the Senate’s limited remaining calendar has produced the current trader consensus favoring “No.”** Democrats on the Appropriations Committee, including Vice Chair Patty Murray, have signaled strong opposition, citing unspent prior-year balances and fiscal priorities, while a bipartisan war-powers measure earlier in the summer illustrated cross-aisle skepticism toward further funding. On September 1, Congress cleared a short-term continuing resolution extending baseline spending through December 11 and deliberately omitting the supplemental package, deferring decisions past the September 30 fiscal-year deadline. With roughly three weeks left and no standalone or attached measure advancing through committee or floor action, the probability that the Senate will pass at least $20 billion in new supplemental war funding before the cutoff remains low.