**No federal law banning sports prediction markets has advanced toward enactment in 2026, supporting the 91% trader consensus against such legislation.** Bipartisan bills, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced by Senators Schiff and Curtis in March, aim to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket from offering sports event contracts, but none have passed either chamber. The CFTC has instead defended its jurisdiction through litigation and issued a June proposed rule permitting many sports-related contracts while targeting narrower integrity concerns. State efforts, such as Minnesota’s May ban later enjoined on preemption grounds, remain fragmented amid ongoing lawsuits and circuit splits, with no national legislative momentum evident by early September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
9% chance
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No federal law banning sports prediction markets has advanced toward enactment in 2026, supporting the 91% trader consensus against such legislation.** Bipartisan bills, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced by Senators Schiff and Curtis in March, aim to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket from offering sports event contracts, but none have passed either chamber. The CFTC has instead defended its jurisdiction through litigation and issued a June proposed rule permitting many sports-related contracts while targeting narrower integrity concerns. State efforts, such as Minnesota’s May ban later enjoined on preemption grounds, remain fragmented amid ongoing lawsuits and circuit splits, with no national legislative momentum evident by early September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$19,843End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No federal law banning sports prediction markets has advanced toward enactment in 2026, supporting the 91% trader consensus against such legislation.** Bipartisan bills, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced by Senators Schiff and Curtis in March, aim to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket from offering sports event contracts, but none have passed either chamber. The CFTC has instead defended its jurisdiction through litigation and issued a June proposed rule permitting many sports-related contracts while targeting narrower integrity concerns. State efforts, such as Minnesota’s May ban later enjoined on preemption grounds, remain fragmented amid ongoing lawsuits and circuit splits, with no national legislative momentum evident by early September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,843End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No federal law banning sports prediction markets has advanced toward enactment in 2026, supporting the 91% trader consensus against such legislation.** Bipartisan bills, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act introduced by Senators Schiff and Curtis in March, aim to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket from offering sports event contracts, but none have passed either chamber. The CFTC has instead defended its jurisdiction through litigation and issued a June proposed rule permitting many sports-related contracts while targeting narrower integrity concerns. State efforts, such as Minnesota’s May ban later enjoined on preemption grounds, remain fragmented amid ongoing lawsuits and circuit splits, with no national legislative momentum evident by early September.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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