The tight Polymarket odds in Virginia’s 1st congressional district reflect the matchup between longtime Republican incumbent Rob Wittman, who has held the seat since 2007 in a district with an R+3 partisan lean, and Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico County commonwealth’s attorney who won her primary decisively in August 2026. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Republican, yet Virginia’s recent statewide Democratic gains and the national midterm environment keep the seat competitive. Limited post-primary polling sustains uncertainty, while fundraising, candidate visibility, and turnout among suburban and military-adjacent voters could widen or narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-01 House Election Winner
VA-01 House Election Winner
$27,270 Vol.
$27,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
51%
Democratic Party
45%
$27,270 Vol.
$27,270 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,515 Vol.
51%
Democratic Party
$20,755 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight Polymarket odds in Virginia’s 1st congressional district reflect the matchup between longtime Republican incumbent Rob Wittman, who has held the seat since 2007 in a district with an R+3 partisan lean, and Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico County commonwealth’s attorney who won her primary decisively in August 2026. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Republican, yet Virginia’s recent statewide Democratic gains and the national midterm environment keep the seat competitive. Limited post-primary polling sustains uncertainty, while fundraising, candidate visibility, and turnout among suburban and military-adjacent voters could widen or narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$27,270End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight Polymarket odds in Virginia’s 1st congressional district reflect the matchup between longtime Republican incumbent Rob Wittman, who has held the seat since 2007 in a district with an R+3 partisan lean, and Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico County commonwealth’s attorney who won her primary decisively in August 2026. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Republican, yet Virginia’s recent statewide Democratic gains and the national midterm environment keep the seat competitive. Limited post-primary polling sustains uncertainty, while fundraising, candidate visibility, and turnout among suburban and military-adjacent voters could widen or narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,270End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight Polymarket odds in Virginia’s 1st congressional district reflect the matchup between longtime Republican incumbent Rob Wittman, who has held the seat since 2007 in a district with an R+3 partisan lean, and Democratic nominee Shannon Taylor, the Henrico County commonwealth’s attorney who won her primary decisively in August 2026. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Republican, yet Virginia’s recent statewide Democratic gains and the national midterm environment keep the seat competitive. Limited post-primary polling sustains uncertainty, while fundraising, candidate visibility, and turnout among suburban and military-adjacent voters could widen or narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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