Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and small business owner. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeds $1.4 million against Vincent’s roughly $235,000, supporting the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSC-07 House Election Winner
SC-07 House Election Winner
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,328 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$15,635 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and small business owner. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeds $1.4 million against Vincent’s roughly $235,000, supporting the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$36,963End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and small business owner. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeds $1.4 million against Vincent’s roughly $235,000, supporting the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,963End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran and small business owner. Fry’s fundraising lead exceeds $1.4 million against Vincent’s roughly $235,000, supporting the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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