Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+8 following mid-decade redistricting that strengthened Republican performance. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and Knott’s primary victory over a low-profile challenger. Democrat Paul Barringer secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than seven points in 2024. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major polling shifts or late developments altering the baseline, market pricing tracks the established partisan and incumbency advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-13 House Election Winner
NC-13 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,197 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$5,271 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+8 following mid-decade redistricting that strengthened Republican performance. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and Knott’s primary victory over a low-profile challenger. Democrat Paul Barringer secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than seven points in 2024. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major polling shifts or late developments altering the baseline, market pricing tracks the established partisan and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$9,468End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+8 following mid-decade redistricting that strengthened Republican performance. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and Knott’s primary victory over a low-profile challenger. Democrat Paul Barringer secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than seven points in 2024. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major polling shifts or late developments altering the baseline, market pricing tracks the established partisan and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,468End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott holds a clear edge in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, where the Cook Partisan Voter Index stands at R+8 following mid-decade redistricting that strengthened Republican performance. Most independent forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s voting history and Knott’s primary victory over a low-profile challenger. Democrat Paul Barringer secured his party’s nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than seven points in 2024. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major polling shifts or late developments altering the baseline, market pricing tracks the established partisan and incumbency advantages.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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