Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C on September 8, driven by clear skies, light variable winds, and moderating influence from the Mediterranean Sea that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions have produced consistent model runs showing dew points near 20–23°C and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 25–26°C outcomes. Historical September baselines average 20–22°C lows, but recent observations and short-range guidance point to warmer nights persisting through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 8?
23°C 9%
24°C 6%
22°C 4.6%
20°C or below 2.6%
$3,431 Vol.
$3,431 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
6%
25°C
33%
26°C
69%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 9%
24°C 6%
22°C 4.6%
20°C or below 2.6%
$3,431 Vol.
$3,431 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$208 Vol.
3%
21°C
$344 Vol.
1%
22°C
$105 Vol.
5%
23°C
$76 Vol.
9%
24°C
$133 Vol.
6%
25°C
$123 Vol.
33%
26°C
$324 Vol.
69%
27°C
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$980 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C on September 8, driven by clear skies, light variable winds, and moderating influence from the Mediterranean Sea that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions have produced consistent model runs showing dew points near 20–23°C and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 25–26°C outcomes. Historical September baselines average 20–22°C lows, but recent observations and short-range guidance point to warmer nights persisting through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,431End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C on September 8, driven by clear skies, light variable winds, and moderating influence from the Mediterranean Sea that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions have produced consistent model runs showing dew points near 20–23°C and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 25–26°C outcomes. Historical September baselines average 20–22°C lows, but recent observations and short-range guidance point to warmer nights persisting through the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,431End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official and ensemble models indicate a minimum overnight low in Tel Aviv of 24–26°C on September 8, driven by clear skies, light variable winds, and moderating influence from the Mediterranean Sea that limits radiative cooling. High pressure and stable atmospheric conditions have produced consistent model runs showing dew points near 20–23°C and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 25–26°C outcomes. Historical September baselines average 20–22°C lows, but recent observations and short-range guidance point to warmer nights persisting through the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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