Federal lawmakers have introduced multiple bills in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and the Fair Markets and Sports Integrity Act, that would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts. None have advanced to enactment. The CFTC’s June 2026 proposed rulemaking instead signals support for broad-outcome sports contracts while targeting narrower ones such as player injuries or officiating decisions. State efforts, including Minnesota’s enjoined ban and litigation in Nevada and elsewhere, have produced a patchwork of restrictions rather than uniform prohibition. Courts remain divided on federal preemption, and platforms continue operating sports markets in most jurisdictions as of September 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
9% chance
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$19,843 Vol.
$19,843 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal lawmakers have introduced multiple bills in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and the Fair Markets and Sports Integrity Act, that would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts. None have advanced to enactment. The CFTC’s June 2026 proposed rulemaking instead signals support for broad-outcome sports contracts while targeting narrower ones such as player injuries or officiating decisions. State efforts, including Minnesota’s enjoined ban and litigation in Nevada and elsewhere, have produced a patchwork of restrictions rather than uniform prohibition. Courts remain divided on federal preemption, and platforms continue operating sports markets in most jurisdictions as of September 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$19,843End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Federal lawmakers have introduced multiple bills in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and the Fair Markets and Sports Integrity Act, that would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts. None have advanced to enactment. The CFTC’s June 2026 proposed rulemaking instead signals support for broad-outcome sports contracts while targeting narrower ones such as player injuries or officiating decisions. State efforts, including Minnesota’s enjoined ban and litigation in Nevada and elsewhere, have produced a patchwork of restrictions rather than uniform prohibition. Courts remain divided on federal preemption, and platforms continue operating sports markets in most jurisdictions as of September 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,843End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal lawmakers have introduced multiple bills in the 119th Congress, including the Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act and the Fair Markets and Sports Integrity Act, that would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to prohibit CFTC-regulated platforms from offering sports event contracts. None have advanced to enactment. The CFTC’s June 2026 proposed rulemaking instead signals support for broad-outcome sports contracts while targeting narrower ones such as player injuries or officiating decisions. State efforts, including Minnesota’s enjoined ban and litigation in Nevada and elsewhere, have produced a patchwork of restrictions rather than uniform prohibition. Courts remain divided on federal preemption, and platforms continue operating sports markets in most jurisdictions as of September 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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