Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-liberal alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Traders assign the highest probabilities to outcomes below 10 seats because the party’s support has stabilized after its July primaries and list finalization but has not expanded significantly amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Key variables keeping the range tight include undecided voters, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and bloc dynamics that could shift if The Democrats secures or loses potential Arab-party or centrist alliances. Late security developments, turnout among left-leaning voters, or last-minute coalition signals before list submission deadlines could widen or narrow the seat totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<8 37%
8-9 30%
12-13 18%
10-11 18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<8
37%
8-9
30%
10-11
18%
12-13
18%
14+
12%
<8 37%
8-9 30%
12-13 18%
10-11 18%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$470 Vol.
37%
8-9
$151 Vol.
30%
10-11
$134 Vol.
18%
12-13
$132 Vol.
18%
14+
$119 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-liberal alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Traders assign the highest probabilities to outcomes below 10 seats because the party’s support has stabilized after its July primaries and list finalization but has not expanded significantly amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Key variables keeping the range tight include undecided voters, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and bloc dynamics that could shift if The Democrats secures or loses potential Arab-party or centrist alliances. Late security developments, turnout among left-leaning voters, or last-minute coalition signals before list submission deadlines could widen or narrow the seat totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,006End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-liberal alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Traders assign the highest probabilities to outcomes below 10 seats because the party’s support has stabilized after its July primaries and list finalization but has not expanded significantly amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Key variables keeping the range tight include undecided voters, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and bloc dynamics that could shift if The Democrats secures or loses potential Arab-party or centrist alliances. Late security developments, turnout among left-leaning voters, or last-minute coalition signals before list submission deadlines could widen or narrow the seat totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,006End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-liberal alliance of Labor and Meretz led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election. Traders assign the highest probabilities to outcomes below 10 seats because the party’s support has stabilized after its July primaries and list finalization but has not expanded significantly amid competition from larger opposition lists such as Yashar and Together. Key variables keeping the range tight include undecided voters, the 3.25% electoral threshold, and bloc dynamics that could shift if The Democrats secures or loses potential Arab-party or centrist alliances. Late security developments, turnout among left-leaning voters, or last-minute coalition signals before list submission deadlines could widen or narrow the seat totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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