**No 6.5+ magnitude earthquakes have been recorded worldwide from August 31 through September 6, 2026, according to USGS data.** Global catalogs show only lower-magnitude events, including a 6.3 quake near the Aleutians on September 3 and scattered 5.x activity in the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia. This aligns with the market’s 90% implied probability for zero events. Seismicity follows irregular clustering along plate boundaries, and the absence of major ruptures in the Ring of Fire or other high-strain zones during this short window supports the strong trader consensus. The market closes soon, with final USGS verification expected to confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
0 90%
1 10%
2 1.1%
3 1.0%
$10,491 Vol.
$10,491 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
0
90%
1
10%
2
1%
3
1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
more than 5
<1%
0 90%
1 10%
2 1.1%
3 1.0%
$10,491 Vol.
$10,491 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
0
$6,621 Vol.
90%
1
$1,391 Vol.
10%
2
$1,205 Vol.
1%
3
$371 Vol.
1%
4
$296 Vol.
<1%
5
$347 Vol.
<1%
more than 5
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**No 6.5+ magnitude earthquakes have been recorded worldwide from August 31 through September 6, 2026, according to USGS data.** Global catalogs show only lower-magnitude events, including a 6.3 quake near the Aleutians on September 3 and scattered 5.x activity in the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia. This aligns with the market’s 90% implied probability for zero events. Seismicity follows irregular clustering along plate boundaries, and the absence of major ruptures in the Ring of Fire or other high-strain zones during this short window supports the strong trader consensus. The market closes soon, with final USGS verification expected to confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Volume
$10,491End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.**No 6.5+ magnitude earthquakes have been recorded worldwide from August 31 through September 6, 2026, according to USGS data.** Global catalogs show only lower-magnitude events, including a 6.3 quake near the Aleutians on September 3 and scattered 5.x activity in the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia. This aligns with the market’s 90% implied probability for zero events. Seismicity follows irregular clustering along plate boundaries, and the absence of major ruptures in the Ring of Fire or other high-strain zones during this short window supports the strong trader consensus. The market closes soon, with final USGS verification expected to confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$10,491End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**No 6.5+ magnitude earthquakes have been recorded worldwide from August 31 through September 6, 2026, according to USGS data.** Global catalogs show only lower-magnitude events, including a 6.3 quake near the Aleutians on September 3 and scattered 5.x activity in the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Indonesia. This aligns with the market’s 90% implied probability for zero events. Seismicity follows irregular clustering along plate boundaries, and the absence of major ruptures in the Ring of Fire or other high-strain zones during this short window supports the strong trader consensus. The market closes soon, with final USGS verification expected to confirm the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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