Apple’s upcoming September 9 event is the dominant driver of trader sentiment around the foldable iPhone’s announced starting price, with supply-chain reports confirming the device remains on track for unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Consistent analyst estimates from Ming-Chi Kuo, TrendForce, and others converge on a $2,000–$2,500 range for the base 256GB model—reflecting the premium book-style design, near-crease-free 7.8-inch inner OLED, advanced hinge materials, and higher component costs—positioning it above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 while enabling strong replacement demand if quality expectations are met. Limited initial production volumes and possible staggered availability after announcement add uncertainty around exact pricing tiers, though the event itself should resolve the market with official details.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
$31,077 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
$1,800+
97%
$2,000+
88%
$2,100+
66%
$2,200+
54%
$2,300+
19%
$2,400+
14%
$2,600+
1%
$31,077 Vol.
$1,800+
$5,427 Vol.
97%
$2,000+
$6,440 Vol.
88%
$2,100+
$1,949 Vol.
66%
$2,200+
$9,550 Vol.
54%
$2,300+
$431 Vol.
19%
$2,400+
$4,815 Vol.
14%
$2,600+
$2,466 Vol.
1%
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s upcoming September 9 event is the dominant driver of trader sentiment around the foldable iPhone’s announced starting price, with supply-chain reports confirming the device remains on track for unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Consistent analyst estimates from Ming-Chi Kuo, TrendForce, and others converge on a $2,000–$2,500 range for the base 256GB model—reflecting the premium book-style design, near-crease-free 7.8-inch inner OLED, advanced hinge materials, and higher component costs—positioning it above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 while enabling strong replacement demand if quality expectations are met. Limited initial production volumes and possible staggered availability after announcement add uncertainty around exact pricing tiers, though the event itself should resolve the market with official details.
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Volume
$31,077End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s upcoming September 9 event is the dominant driver of trader sentiment around the foldable iPhone’s announced starting price, with supply-chain reports confirming the device remains on track for unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Consistent analyst estimates from Ming-Chi Kuo, TrendForce, and others converge on a $2,000–$2,500 range for the base 256GB model—reflecting the premium book-style design, near-crease-free 7.8-inch inner OLED, advanced hinge materials, and higher component costs—positioning it above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 while enabling strong replacement demand if quality expectations are met. Limited initial production volumes and possible staggered availability after announcement add uncertainty around exact pricing tiers, though the event itself should resolve the market with official details.
Apple is scheduled to hold its "Surprise and Shine" event at 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first price publicly announced by Apple for a foldable iPhone for the US market is greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The price used for resolution will be the starting price (USD) as first announced by Apple for the lowest-priced configuration of a foldable iPhone in the US market, before taxes, carrier subsidies, trade-in credits, promotional discounts, or bundled services. Prices announced for other regions or for higher storage configurations will not be used.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify as a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If Apple announces prices for more than one foldable iPhone model, the lowest announced starting price will be used.
If Apple does not publicly announce a price for a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,077End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s upcoming September 9 event is the dominant driver of trader sentiment around the foldable iPhone’s announced starting price, with supply-chain reports confirming the device remains on track for unveiling alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Consistent analyst estimates from Ming-Chi Kuo, TrendForce, and others converge on a $2,000–$2,500 range for the base 256GB model—reflecting the premium book-style design, near-crease-free 7.8-inch inner OLED, advanced hinge materials, and higher component costs—positioning it above Samsung’s Galaxy Z Fold8 while enabling strong replacement demand if quality expectations are met. Limited initial production volumes and possible staggered availability after announcement add uncertainty around exact pricing tiers, though the event itself should resolve the market with official details.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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