Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s X posting pace fluctuating sharply, with August 2026 resolving at 880–919 posts while the trailing twelve weeks averaged closer to 138 per week amid a broader 2026 cooldown from 2025 peaks. October historically sits in a moderate-to-high range, yet traders assign the largest share of probability to the 1000+ bracket because of Musk’s capacity for rapid spikes tied to product launches, regulatory news, or political developments. The wide dispersion across 600–999 bins underscores the absence of a dominant catalyst or consistent rhythm, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-month surge in replies, quotes, or original commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1000+ 33%
800-839 12%
920-959 12%
960-999 11%
$35,785 Vol.
$35,785 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
2%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
5%
780-799
8%
800-839
12%
840-879
9%
880-919
11%
920-959
12%
960-999
11%
1000+
33%
1000+ 33%
800-839 12%
920-959 12%
960-999 11%
$35,785 Vol.
$35,785 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
$525 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$435 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$430 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$445 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$440 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$515 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$495 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$510 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$315 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$500 Vol.
<1%
200-219
$490 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$415 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$495 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$415 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$495 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$497 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$497 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$495 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$510 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$495 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$805 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$1,395 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$475 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$475 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$1,610 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$204 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$255 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$235 Vol.
<1%
580-599
$855 Vol.
<1%
600-619
$244 Vol.
1%
620-639
$219 Vol.
1%
640-659
$224 Vol.
1%
660-679
$219 Vol.
1%
680-699
$219 Vol.
2%
700-719
$959 Vol.
2%
720-739
$992 Vol.
2%
740-759
$313 Vol.
3%
760-779
$746 Vol.
5%
780-799
$1,832 Vol.
8%
800-839
$3,463 Vol.
12%
840-879
$417 Vol.
9%
880-919
$2,167 Vol.
11%
920-959
$3,122 Vol.
12%
960-999
$1,837 Vol.
11%
1000+
$2,820 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s X posting pace fluctuating sharply, with August 2026 resolving at 880–919 posts while the trailing twelve weeks averaged closer to 138 per week amid a broader 2026 cooldown from 2025 peaks. October historically sits in a moderate-to-high range, yet traders assign the largest share of probability to the 1000+ bracket because of Musk’s capacity for rapid spikes tied to product launches, regulatory news, or political developments. The wide dispersion across 600–999 bins underscores the absence of a dominant catalyst or consistent rhythm, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-month surge in replies, quotes, or original commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$35,785End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s X posting pace fluctuating sharply, with August 2026 resolving at 880–919 posts while the trailing twelve weeks averaged closer to 138 per week amid a broader 2026 cooldown from 2025 peaks. October historically sits in a moderate-to-high range, yet traders assign the largest share of probability to the 1000+ bracket because of Musk’s capacity for rapid spikes tied to product launches, regulatory news, or political developments. The wide dispersion across 600–999 bins underscores the absence of a dominant catalyst or consistent rhythm, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-month surge in replies, quotes, or original commentary.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$35,785End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weeks show Elon Musk’s X posting pace fluctuating sharply, with August 2026 resolving at 880–919 posts while the trailing twelve weeks averaged closer to 138 per week amid a broader 2026 cooldown from 2025 peaks. October historically sits in a moderate-to-high range, yet traders assign the largest share of probability to the 1000+ bracket because of Musk’s capacity for rapid spikes tied to product launches, regulatory news, or political developments. The wide dispersion across 600–999 bins underscores the absence of a dominant catalyst or consistent rhythm, leaving outcomes highly sensitive to any late-month surge in replies, quotes, or original commentary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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