**Proposition 5, a legislative constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would eliminate the simultaneous successor question in state officer recall elections.** Voters would decide only on removal, with vacancies filled afterward through existing special election or appointment rules—except for the governor, where the lieutenant governor would assume the role under specified timelines. The measure, referred by the legislature and backed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber and the League of Women Voters of California, aims to simplify the process and reduce replacement politics. Opposition from groups like the Election Integrity Project California highlights concerns over accountability and procedural changes. As the election nears with no dominant recent campaign developments or polling shifts, trader consensus reflected in the 57.5% "No" probability indicates modest skepticism toward altering the established recall framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Recall Election Reform Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Proposition 5, a legislative constitutional amendment on the November 3, 2026 ballot, would eliminate the simultaneous successor question in state officer recall elections.** Voters would decide only on removal, with vacancies filled afterward through existing special election or appointment rules—except for the governor, where the lieutenant governor would assume the role under specified timelines. The measure, referred by the legislature and backed by Secretary of State Shirley Weber and the League of Women Voters of California, aims to simplify the process and reduce replacement politics. Opposition from groups like the Election Integrity Project California highlights concerns over accountability and procedural changes. As the election nears with no dominant recent campaign developments or polling shifts, trader consensus reflected in the 57.5% "No" probability indicates modest skepticism toward altering the established recall framework.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions