**Aaron Ford holds a 64.5% implied probability of winning Washoe County in the 2026 Nevada governor race, ahead of incumbent Joe Lombardo at 34.5%.** Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill by a wide margin, demonstrating strength in the Reno-area county. Lombardo won the Republican primary overwhelmingly. Statewide polling averages through late July show the overall contest remaining close, with Lombardo holding a narrow edge. Washoe’s mix of suburban and independent voters has historically made it a swing county, and traders appear to weigh Ford’s local name recognition and primary results there more heavily than Lombardo’s incumbency advantages. Minor-party and “none of these” options on the ballot sit near even odds, reflecting limited expected impact on the two-party outcome. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter county-level positioning ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Ford (D)
64%
Joe Lombardo (R)
35%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Ford (D)
$2,188 Vol.
64%
Joe Lombardo (R)
$862 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Washoe County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.**Aaron Ford holds a 64.5% implied probability of winning Washoe County in the 2026 Nevada governor race, ahead of incumbent Joe Lombardo at 34.5%.**
Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill by a wide margin, demonstrating strength in the Reno-area county. Lombardo won the Republican primary overwhelmingly. Statewide polling averages through late July show the overall contest remaining close, with Lombardo holding a narrow edge. Washoe’s mix of suburban and independent voters has historically made it a swing county, and traders appear to weigh Ford’s local name recognition and primary results there more heavily than Lombardo’s incumbency advantages. Minor-party and “none of these” options on the ballot sit near even odds, reflecting limited expected impact on the two-party outcome. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter county-level positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Washoe County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Volume
$3,051End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Washoe County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.**Aaron Ford holds a 64.5% implied probability of winning Washoe County in the 2026 Nevada governor race, ahead of incumbent Joe Lombardo at 34.5%.**
Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill by a wide margin, demonstrating strength in the Reno-area county. Lombardo won the Republican primary overwhelmingly. Statewide polling averages through late July show the overall contest remaining close, with Lombardo holding a narrow edge. Washoe’s mix of suburban and independent voters has historically made it a swing county, and traders appear to weigh Ford’s local name recognition and primary results there more heavily than Lombardo’s incumbency advantages. Minor-party and “none of these” options on the ballot sit near even odds, reflecting limited expected impact on the two-party outcome. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter county-level positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Washoe County in the general election for Governor of Nevada, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Nevada, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Washoe County.
Volume
$3,051End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Aaron Ford holds a 64.5% implied probability of winning Washoe County in the 2026 Nevada governor race, ahead of incumbent Joe Lombardo at 34.5%.** Ford secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill by a wide margin, demonstrating strength in the Reno-area county. Lombardo won the Republican primary overwhelmingly. Statewide polling averages through late July show the overall contest remaining close, with Lombardo holding a narrow edge. Washoe’s mix of suburban and independent voters has historically made it a swing county, and traders appear to weigh Ford’s local name recognition and primary results there more heavily than Lombardo’s incumbency advantages. Minor-party and “none of these” options on the ballot sit near even odds, reflecting limited expected impact on the two-party outcome. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter county-level positioning ahead of the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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