Gavin Newsom predictions & odds

Elections·California

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

$92.5K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

December 31, 2026

$92.5K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

$534 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

20%

$534 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$504K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends in about 2 years

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$504K today

$81M Liq.

810

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$703M Vol.

$225K today

$61M Liq.

1,020

Ends in about 2 years

25%

JD Vance

$703M Vol.

$225K today

$61M Liq.

1,020

Ends in about 2 years

Tech·Google

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

$142K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

Alysa Liu

$142K Vol.

$2M Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·California

California voter ID referendum passes?

$9.0K Vol.

$526 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

40%

$9.0K Vol.

$526 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1M Vol.

$912K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1M Vol.

$912K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$64.7K Vol.

$393K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

82%

Gavin Newsom

$64.7K Vol.

$393K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·Midterms

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

$2.9K Vol.

$869 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

69%

Steve Hilton

$2.9K Vol.

$869 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Starmer

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

$265K Vol.

$378K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$265K Vol.

$378K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·President

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$93.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$93.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

Elections·Margin Of Victory

California Governor Election Margin of Victory

$376 Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

24%

Becerra 40%+

$376 Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$406K Vol.

$349K Liq.

11%

Anthony Fauci

$406K Vol.

$349K Liq.

Elections·Democratic Presidential Nomination

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

$12.4K Vol.

$96.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

14%

Kamala Harris

$12.4K Vol.

$96.9K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

$41M Vol.

$6M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

96%

Xavier Becerra

$41M Vol.

$6M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·President

Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

$9.4K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

29%

Andy Beshear

$9.4K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Politics·Gavin Newsom

Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

$3.3K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

$3.3K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Elections·US Election

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

$30.6K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

95%

Fiona Ma

$30.6K Vol.

$105K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

43%

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·California

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

$1.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

38%

$1.1K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gavin Newsom.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Gavin Newsom that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gavin Newsom predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Gavin Newsom shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Gavin Newsom prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Gavin Newsom prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Gavin Newsom predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Gavin Newsom prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Gavin Newsom markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Gavin Newsom prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Gavin Newsom predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Gavin Newsom odds?

Can I track Gavin Newsom predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Gavin Newsom markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Gavin Newsom predictions & odds