Justice Clarence Thomas, the Supreme Court’s longest-serving member at age 78, has given no public indication of plans to retire, with sources close to him confirming he does not intend to step down in the current term. Recent reports show Thomas focused on his role amid the court’s conservative majority, approaching a longevity record in 2028 that could influence timing decisions. Speculation has centered on whether he or Justice Samuel Alito would create a vacancy while Republicans hold the Senate and White House, allowing confirmation of a replacement, but Alito’s August 2026 confirmation of staying for another term has reduced near-term expectations. Upcoming midterm elections and any health or personal developments remain key variables that could shift the implied probability reflected in trader consensus.