Trader consensus on a 94.8% market-implied probability of "No" stems from the lack of legal personhood for large language models or other AI systems, which prevents them from possessing the intent or capacity required for criminal charges under current frameworks. Recent civil lawsuits and state probes target AI developers like OpenAI for harms involving chatbots, while legislation in multiple states explicitly bars granting AI limited personhood or corporate-like status. DOJ guidance and scholarly analyses reinforce that liability attaches to users, companies, or operators rather than autonomous agents. Although rapid new statutes or precedent-shifting rulings could theoretically alter this before 2027, the compressed timeline and entrenched common-law principles make such changes improbable.