Incumbent Republican Phil Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race after winning his party’s primary unopposed. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her nomination in the August 11 primary and trails Scott by double digits in available polling, consistent with the state’s pattern of electing moderate Republican governors even as it leans heavily Democratic in federal contests. Scott’s long record of statewide victories and cross-party appeal have kept the Republican outcome priced at trader consensus levels near 88 percent, while Janoo’s limited name recognition and the absence of major late-cycle shifts have left the Democratic side at roughly 8 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$66,250 Vol.
$66,250 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
89%
Democrat
8%
$66,250 Vol.
$66,250 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$31,817 Vol.
89%
Democrat
$34,433 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race after winning his party’s primary unopposed. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her nomination in the August 11 primary and trails Scott by double digits in available polling, consistent with the state’s pattern of electing moderate Republican governors even as it leans heavily Democratic in federal contests. Scott’s long record of statewide victories and cross-party appeal have kept the Republican outcome priced at trader consensus levels near 88 percent, while Janoo’s limited name recognition and the absence of major late-cycle shifts have left the Democratic side at roughly 8 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$66,250End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race after winning his party’s primary unopposed. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her nomination in the August 11 primary and trails Scott by double digits in available polling, consistent with the state’s pattern of electing moderate Republican governors even as it leans heavily Democratic in federal contests. Scott’s long record of statewide victories and cross-party appeal have kept the Republican outcome priced at trader consensus levels near 88 percent, while Janoo’s limited name recognition and the absence of major late-cycle shifts have left the Democratic side at roughly 8 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$66,250End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race after winning his party’s primary unopposed. Democrat Amanda Janoo narrowly secured her nomination in the August 11 primary and trails Scott by double digits in available polling, consistent with the state’s pattern of electing moderate Republican governors even as it leans heavily Democratic in federal contests. Scott’s long record of statewide victories and cross-party appeal have kept the Republican outcome priced at trader consensus levels near 88 percent, while Janoo’s limited name recognition and the absence of major late-cycle shifts have left the Democratic side at roughly 8 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key upcoming date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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