The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding a narrow division lead over the Yankees and Red Sox while the White Sox and Astros anchor their respective divisions. New York’s league-best run differential underscores trader emphasis on underlying performance metrics beyond the win column, keeping their implied probability close to Tampa Bay’s. Boston’s recent surge and the Guardians’ proximity in the Central add depth to the field. Late-season health, remaining schedule strength, and wild-card positioning will shape playoff seeding and momentum, reflecting the inherent variance in October outcomes among these closely matched contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 American League Champion
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 20.6%
Boston Red Sox 13.3%
Chicago White Sox 11.8%
$4,335,760 Vol.
$4,335,760 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
21%
Boston Red Sox
13%
Chicago White Sox
12%
Houston Astros
10%
Cleveland Guardians
5%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Texas Rangers
3%
Seattle Mariners
2%
Baltimore Orioles
1%
Detroit Tigers
1%
Minnesota Twins
1%
Kansas City Royals
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
<1%
Athletics
<1%
New York Yankees 25%
Tampa Bay Rays 20.6%
Boston Red Sox 13.3%
Chicago White Sox 11.8%
$4,335,760 Vol.
$4,335,760 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
New York Yankees
$58,932 Vol.
25%
Tampa Bay Rays
$406,632 Vol.
21%
Boston Red Sox
$59,701 Vol.
13%
Chicago White Sox
$253,549 Vol.
12%
Houston Astros
$785,168 Vol.
10%
Cleveland Guardians
$742,525 Vol.
5%
Toronto Blue Jays
$154,137 Vol.
4%
Texas Rangers
$27,909 Vol.
3%
Seattle Mariners
$41,054 Vol.
2%
Baltimore Orioles
$67,941 Vol.
1%
Detroit Tigers
$124,570 Vol.
1%
Minnesota Twins
$253,605 Vol.
1%
Kansas City Royals
$856,311 Vol.
<1%
Los Angeles Angels
$327,455 Vol.
<1%
Athletics
$176,270 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding a narrow division lead over the Yankees and Red Sox while the White Sox and Astros anchor their respective divisions. New York’s league-best run differential underscores trader emphasis on underlying performance metrics beyond the win column, keeping their implied probability close to Tampa Bay’s. Boston’s recent surge and the Guardians’ proximity in the Central add depth to the field. Late-season health, remaining schedule strength, and wild-card positioning will shape playoff seeding and momentum, reflecting the inherent variance in October outcomes among these closely matched contenders.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Volume
$4,335,760End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding a narrow division lead over the Yankees and Red Sox while the White Sox and Astros anchor their respective divisions. New York’s league-best run differential underscores trader emphasis on underlying performance metrics beyond the win column, keeping their implied probability close to Tampa Bay’s. Boston’s recent surge and the Guardians’ proximity in the Central add depth to the field. Late-season health, remaining schedule strength, and wild-card positioning will shape playoff seeding and momentum, reflecting the inherent variance in October outcomes among these closely matched contenders.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,335,760End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 AL pennant race remains tightly contested entering the final weeks, with the Rays holding a narrow division lead over the Yankees and Red Sox while the White Sox and Astros anchor their respective divisions. New York’s league-best run differential underscores trader emphasis on underlying performance metrics beyond the win column, keeping their implied probability close to Tampa Bay’s. Boston’s recent surge and the Guardians’ proximity in the Central add depth to the field. Late-season health, remaining schedule strength, and wild-card positioning will shape playoff seeding and momentum, reflecting the inherent variance in October outcomes among these closely matched contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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