Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent lead over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the August 4 primaries, with Benson defeating Chris Swanson by a wide margin and James prevailing over Perry Johnson. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points among likely voters, with individual surveys from MSU, EPIC-MRA, and others placing her between 45% and 52%. The open-seat contest, following term limits on Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, features a battleground state where Benson’s statewide profile and fundraising advantage have contributed to her positioning. Independent and third-party options remain marginal in both polls and market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDemocrat 90%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$203,498 Vol.
$203,498 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
Independent
<1%
Democrat 90%
Republican 11%
Independent <1%
$203,498 Vol.
$203,498 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$48,379 Vol.
90%
Republican
$154,366 Vol.
11%
Independent
$753 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent lead over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the August 4 primaries, with Benson defeating Chris Swanson by a wide margin and James prevailing over Perry Johnson. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points among likely voters, with individual surveys from MSU, EPIC-MRA, and others placing her between 45% and 52%. The open-seat contest, following term limits on Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, features a battleground state where Benson’s statewide profile and fundraising advantage have contributed to her positioning. Independent and third-party options remain marginal in both polls and market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$203,498End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent lead over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the August 4 primaries, with Benson defeating Chris Swanson by a wide margin and James prevailing over Perry Johnson. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points among likely voters, with individual surveys from MSU, EPIC-MRA, and others placing her between 45% and 52%. The open-seat contest, following term limits on Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, features a battleground state where Benson’s statewide profile and fundraising advantage have contributed to her positioning. Independent and third-party options remain marginal in both polls and market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$203,498End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson holds a consistent lead over Republican U.S. Rep. John James in the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the August 4 primaries, with Benson defeating Chris Swanson by a wide margin and James prevailing over Perry Johnson. Recent polling aggregates through early September show Benson ahead by roughly 7 points among likely voters, with individual surveys from MSU, EPIC-MRA, and others placing her between 45% and 52%. The open-seat contest, following term limits on Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, features a battleground state where Benson’s statewide profile and fundraising advantage have contributed to her positioning. Independent and third-party options remain marginal in both polls and market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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