**Uba Sani, the incumbent APC governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the Kaduna 2027 gubernatorial race due to his unopposed party primary win in May 2026 and recent selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna and revenue service executive, as running mate.** This July 2026 choice shifted the APC ticket from the prior Muslim-Muslim formula to a Muslim-Christian pairing, addressing long-standing calls for greater regional and religious inclusion after extensive consultations. INEC’s late August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders for the February 6, 2027, election, with Mohammed Ashiru Isa (ADC) as the clearest challenger following his 2023 PDP bid. Lower-priced names such as Shehu Bawa (PDP), Aminu Abdulfatah, Auwal Tafoki, and Danjuma Laah reflect fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. Trader pricing aligns with Sani’s incumbency advantages, APC organizational strength, and the running-mate adjustment that broadened appeal in key zones, while scheduled campaign starts in September 2026 and ongoing security concerns remain secondary factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUba Sani 70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%
Shehu Bawa 6%
Aminu Abdulfatah 3.9%
$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
23%
Shehu Bawa
6%
Aminu Abdulfatah
4%
Auwal Tafoki
3%
Danjuma Laah
2%
Uba Sani 70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%
Shehu Bawa 6%
Aminu Abdulfatah 3.9%
$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
$18,423 Vol.
70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
$1,476 Vol.
23%
Shehu Bawa
$140 Vol.
6%
Aminu Abdulfatah
$346 Vol.
4%
Auwal Tafoki
$355 Vol.
3%
Danjuma Laah
$425 Vol.
2%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Uba Sani, the incumbent APC governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the Kaduna 2027 gubernatorial race due to his unopposed party primary win in May 2026 and recent selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna and revenue service executive, as running mate.** This July 2026 choice shifted the APC ticket from the prior Muslim-Muslim formula to a Muslim-Christian pairing, addressing long-standing calls for greater regional and religious inclusion after extensive consultations.
INEC’s late August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders for the February 6, 2027, election, with Mohammed Ashiru Isa (ADC) as the clearest challenger following his 2023 PDP bid. Lower-priced names such as Shehu Bawa (PDP), Aminu Abdulfatah, Auwal Tafoki, and Danjuma Laah reflect fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. Trader pricing aligns with Sani’s incumbency advantages, APC organizational strength, and the running-mate adjustment that broadened appeal in key zones, while scheduled campaign starts in September 2026 and ongoing security concerns remain secondary factors.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$21,165End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.**Uba Sani, the incumbent APC governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the Kaduna 2027 gubernatorial race due to his unopposed party primary win in May 2026 and recent selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna and revenue service executive, as running mate.** This July 2026 choice shifted the APC ticket from the prior Muslim-Muslim formula to a Muslim-Christian pairing, addressing long-standing calls for greater regional and religious inclusion after extensive consultations.
INEC’s late August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders for the February 6, 2027, election, with Mohammed Ashiru Isa (ADC) as the clearest challenger following his 2023 PDP bid. Lower-priced names such as Shehu Bawa (PDP), Aminu Abdulfatah, Auwal Tafoki, and Danjuma Laah reflect fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. Trader pricing aligns with Sani’s incumbency advantages, APC organizational strength, and the running-mate adjustment that broadened appeal in key zones, while scheduled campaign starts in September 2026 and ongoing security concerns remain secondary factors.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$21,165End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Uba Sani, the incumbent APC governor seeking re-election, holds the leading position in the Kaduna 2027 gubernatorial race due to his unopposed party primary win in May 2026 and recent selection of Jerry Adams, a Christian from Southern Kaduna and revenue service executive, as running mate.** This July 2026 choice shifted the APC ticket from the prior Muslim-Muslim formula to a Muslim-Christian pairing, addressing long-standing calls for greater regional and religious inclusion after extensive consultations. INEC’s late August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders for the February 6, 2027, election, with Mohammed Ashiru Isa (ADC) as the clearest challenger following his 2023 PDP bid. Lower-priced names such as Shehu Bawa (PDP), Aminu Abdulfatah, Auwal Tafoki, and Danjuma Laah reflect fragmented opposition support and limited recent momentum. Trader pricing aligns with Sani’s incumbency advantages, APC organizational strength, and the running-mate adjustment that broadened appeal in key zones, while scheduled campaign starts in September 2026 and ongoing security concerns remain secondary factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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