Uba Sani holds the leading position in the Kaduna governorship race at 69.5 percent trader consensus, reflecting his status as the APC incumbent who secured the party ticket unopposed through affirmation votes in May 2026 and later selected Jerry Adams as running mate to emphasize inclusion and a shift from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket. INEC’s August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders, with Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC as the main listed opponent at 22.5 percent, followed by lower-priced options such as Shehu Bawa of the PDP. Recent state performance gains in ease of doing business, infrastructure projects, and security initiatives have reinforced perceptions of administrative continuity ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUba Sani 70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%
Shehu Bawa 6%
Danjuma Laah 4.8%
$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
23%
Shehu Bawa
6%
Danjuma Laah
5%
Aminu Abdulfatah
5%
Auwal Tafoki
3%
Uba Sani 70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa 23%
Shehu Bawa 6%
Danjuma Laah 4.8%
$21,165 Vol.
$21,165 Vol.
Feb 6, 2027
Uba Sani
$18,423 Vol.
70%
Mohammed Ashiru Isa
$1,476 Vol.
23%
Shehu Bawa
$140 Vol.
6%
Danjuma Laah
$425 Vol.
5%
Aminu Abdulfatah
$346 Vol.
5%
Auwal Tafoki
$355 Vol.
3%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Uba Sani holds the leading position in the Kaduna governorship race at 69.5 percent trader consensus, reflecting his status as the APC incumbent who secured the party ticket unopposed through affirmation votes in May 2026 and later selected Jerry Adams as running mate to emphasize inclusion and a shift from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket. INEC’s August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders, with Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC as the main listed opponent at 22.5 percent, followed by lower-priced options such as Shehu Bawa of the PDP. Recent state performance gains in ease of doing business, infrastructure projects, and security initiatives have reinforced perceptions of administrative continuity ahead of the 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$21,165End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Uba Sani holds the leading position in the Kaduna governorship race at 69.5 percent trader consensus, reflecting his status as the APC incumbent who secured the party ticket unopposed through affirmation votes in May 2026 and later selected Jerry Adams as running mate to emphasize inclusion and a shift from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket. INEC’s August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders, with Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC as the main listed opponent at 22.5 percent, followed by lower-priced options such as Shehu Bawa of the PDP. Recent state performance gains in ease of doing business, infrastructure projects, and security initiatives have reinforced perceptions of administrative continuity ahead of the 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$21,165End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uba Sani holds the leading position in the Kaduna governorship race at 69.5 percent trader consensus, reflecting his status as the APC incumbent who secured the party ticket unopposed through affirmation votes in May 2026 and later selected Jerry Adams as running mate to emphasize inclusion and a shift from the prior Muslim-Muslim ticket. INEC’s August 2026 candidate list confirmed 18 contenders, with Isa Mohammed Ashiru of the ADC as the main listed opponent at 22.5 percent, followed by lower-priced options such as Shehu Bawa of the PDP. Recent state performance gains in ease of doing business, infrastructure projects, and security initiatives have reinforced perceptions of administrative continuity ahead of the 2027 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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