Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat with a D+6 partisan voter index that has delivered Democratic victories in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Foster, unopposed in the Democratic primary, maintains substantial fundraising and cash reserves compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter, who prevailed in a competitive four-way primary. Trader consensus at 95.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors and historical results, including Foster's 2024 win. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the district's composition makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-11 House Election Winner
IL-11 House Election Winner
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$40,038 Vol.
$40,038 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,900 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$20,138 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat with a D+6 partisan voter index that has delivered Democratic victories in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Foster, unopposed in the Democratic primary, maintains substantial fundraising and cash reserves compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter, who prevailed in a competitive four-way primary. Trader consensus at 95.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors and historical results, including Foster's 2024 win. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the district's composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$40,038End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat with a D+6 partisan voter index that has delivered Democratic victories in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Foster, unopposed in the Democratic primary, maintains substantial fundraising and cash reserves compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter, who prevailed in a competitive four-way primary. Trader consensus at 95.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors and historical results, including Foster's 2024 win. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the district's composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,038End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bill Foster holds a commanding position in Illinois's 11th congressional district, a suburban Chicago seat with a D+6 partisan voter index that has delivered Democratic victories in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Foster, unopposed in the Democratic primary, maintains substantial fundraising and cash reserves compared with Republican nominee Jeff Walter, who prevailed in a competitive four-way primary. Trader consensus at 95.5% Democratic reflects these structural factors and historical results, including Foster's 2024 win. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though the district's composition makes such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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