**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daily high near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 11, with consensus centering on 31–33°C under mostly sunny to cloudy conditions.** Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C on September 8 amid clear skies, followed by slightly lower readings (30–32°C) on September 9–10 with scattered showers that increased cloud cover and reduced insolation. For September 11, steering patterns favor northeast flow with limited moisture return, supporting modest daytime heating; however, differences in predicted cloud fraction and any brief convective activity create a narrow spread across 31–33°C. Historical September climatology for the region averages highs near 31°C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while leaving room for small revisions from updated model runs or local urban heat effects. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range of outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
32°C 32%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
32%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daily high near 32°C for Shenzhen on September 11, with consensus centering on 31–33°C under mostly sunny to cloudy conditions.** Recent observations show highs of 33–34°C on September 8 amid clear skies, followed by slightly lower readings (30–32°C) on September 9–10 with scattered showers that increased cloud cover and reduced insolation. For September 11, steering patterns favor northeast flow with limited moisture return, supporting modest daytime heating; however, differences in predicted cloud fraction and any brief convective activity create a narrow spread across 31–33°C. Historical September climatology for the region averages highs near 31°C, so current conditions align with seasonal norms while leaving room for small revisions from updated model runs or local urban heat effects. Trader sentiment reflects this tight range of outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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