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icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Pierre Gasly 100.0%

Lando Norris <1%

Franco Colapinto <1%

Carlos Sainz Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$101,041 Vol.

Pierre Gasly 100.0%

Lando Norris <1%

Franco Colapinto <1%

Carlos Sainz Jr. <1%

Polymarket

$101,041 Vol.

Lando Norris

$7,358 Vol.

No

Franco Colapinto

$151 Vol.

No

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$240 Vol.

No

Nico Hulkenberg

$151 Vol.

No

Valtteri Bottas

$430 Vol.

No

Lewis Hamilton

$5,966 Vol.

No

Oliver Bearman

$332 Vol.

No

Oscar Piastri

$3,643 Vol.

No

George Russell

$37,846 Vol.

No

Arvid Lindblad

$301 Vol.

No

Isack Hadjar

$83 Vol.

No

Liam Lawson

$151 Vol.

No

Lance Stroll

$239 Vol.

No

Pierre Gasly

$2,302 Vol.

Yes

Fernando Alonso

$344 Vol.

No

Alexander Albon

$240 Vol.

No

Gabriel Bortoleto

$176 Vol.

No

Sergio Perez

$237 Vol.

No

Charles Leclerc

$3,637 Vol.

No

Esteban Ocon

$240 Vol.

No

Kimi Antonelli

$13,597 Vol.

No

Max Verstappen

$23,374 Vol.

No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**Pierre Gasly secured pole position for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza with a standout qualifying performance for Alpine, topping the timesheets ahead of George Russell by 0.060 seconds.** The Frenchman delivered his maiden F1 pole on his final Q3 lap, capitalizing on a strong car setup suited to Monza’s high-speed straights, effective energy deployment, and a well-timed tow. This built on his 2020 victory at the same venue and recent form, while favorites like Russell, Oscar Piastri, Charles Leclerc, and Lewis Hamilton fell short in the session. With over 90% implied probability on Gasly, the outcome reflects confirmed qualifying results. Potential shifts remain limited but could arise from rare post-qualifying steward interventions or technical issues affecting grid confirmation.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$101,041
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.**Pierre Gasly secured pole position for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix at Monza with a standout qualifying performance for Alpine, topping the timesheets ahead of George Russell by 0.060 seconds.** The Frenchman delivered his maiden F1 pole on his final Q3 lap, capitalizing on a strong car setup suited to Monza’s high-speed straights, effective energy deployment, and a well-timed tow. This built on his 2020 victory at the same venue and recent form, while favorites like Russell, Oscar Piastri, Charles Leclerc, and Lewis Hamilton fell short in the session. With over 90% implied probability on Gasly, the outcome reflects confirmed qualifying results. Potential shifts remain limited but could arise from rare post-qualifying steward interventions or technical issues affecting grid confirmation.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$101,041
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pierre Gasly" at 100%, followed by "Lando Norris" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" has generated $101K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "Pierre Gasly" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lando Norris" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.