Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner

icon for Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Kimi Antonelli 36%

Oliver Bearman 25%

Gabriel Bortoleto 24%

George Russell 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 36%

Oliver Bearman 25%

Gabriel Bortoleto 24%

George Russell 24%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$0 Vol.

36%

Oliver Bearman

$0 Vol.

25%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$0 Vol.

24%

George Russell

$0 Vol.

24%

Lando Norris

$0 Vol.

23%

Sergio Perez

$0 Vol.

21%

Valtteri Bottas

$0 Vol.

21%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

21%

Charles Leclerc

$0 Vol.

21%

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

20%

Alexander Albon

$0 Vol.

20%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

20%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$0 Vol.

20%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

20%

Lewis Hamilton

$0 Vol.

20%

Max Verstappen

$0 Vol.

19%

Esteban Ocon

$0 Vol.

18%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

17%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

12%

Yuki Tsunoda

$0 Vol.

12%

Lance Stroll

$0 Vol.

12%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

11%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

11%

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 36% for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix winner due to his commanding 2026 championship form with Mercedes, including multiple victories and strong qualifying pace under the new regulations. George Russell follows at 24% as his teammate, benefiting from equal machinery and recent podium results. The Baku City Circuit's history of safety cars, collisions, and unpredictable outcomes compresses probabilities across the field, elevating drivers like Valtteri Bottas, Gabriel Bortoleto, and others into the 10-22% range despite lower season standings. Recent practice trends and the track's demands for straight-line speed paired with corner stability further support this broad distribution ahead of the September 26 race.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus at 36% for the Azerbaijan Grand Prix winner due to his commanding 2026 championship form with Mercedes, including multiple victories and strong qualifying pace under the new regulations. George Russell follows at 24% as his teammate, benefiting from equal machinery and recent podium results. The Baku City Circuit's history of safety cars, collisions, and unpredictable outcomes compresses probabilities across the field, elevating drivers like Valtteri Bottas, Gabriel Bortoleto, and others into the 10-22% range despite lower season standings. Recent practice trends and the track's demands for straight-line speed paired with corner stability further support this broad distribution ahead of the September 26 race.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 3, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for BNB Up or Down

BNB Up or Down

September 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

50%
Up
icon for XRP Up or Down

XRP Up or Down

September 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

50%
Up
icon for Hyperliquid Up or Down

Hyperliquid Up or Down

50%
Up

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 36%, followed by "George Russell" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Azerbaijan Grand Prix: Driver Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.