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icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Alexander Albon <1%

Gabriel Bortoleto <1%

Max Verstappen <1%

Polymarket

$1,103,472 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 100.0%

Alexander Albon <1%

Gabriel Bortoleto <1%

Max Verstappen <1%

Polymarket

$1,103,472 Vol.

Alexander Albon

$730 Vol.

No

Gabriel Bortoleto

$504 Vol.

No

Max Verstappen

$187,913 Vol.

No

Pierre Gasly

$116,182 Vol.

No

Fernando Alonso

$407 Vol.

No

Charles Leclerc

$39,338 Vol.

No

Lando Norris

$80,509 Vol.

No

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$12,713 Vol.

No

Valtteri Bottas

$329 Vol.

No

Lewis Hamilton

$63,844 Vol.

No

Oliver Bearman

$395 Vol.

No

Oscar Piastri

$49,232 Vol.

No

George Russell

$168,871 Vol.

No

Arvid Lindblad

$3,979 Vol.

No

Isack Hadjar

$1,478 Vol.

No

Liam Lawson

$3,833 Vol.

No

Lance Stroll

$4,311 Vol.

No

Sergio Perez

$550 Vol.

No

Esteban Ocon

$511 Vol.

No

Kimi Antonelli

$361,422 Vol.

Yes

Franco Colapinto

$6,006 Vol.

No

Nico Hulkenberg

$414 Vol.

No

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli secured the Italian Grand Prix victory at Monza through an exceptional recovery from 19th on the grid after an engine-related penalty, leveraging superior pace, a favorable tire strategy during a virtual safety car, and a decisive late overtake on Mercedes teammate George Russell. The 20-year-old championship leader capitalized on the high-speed Temple of Speed layout, an early red flag from Charles Leclerc’s crash, and strong race pace to become the first Italian winner there since 1966 while extending his drivers’ title advantage. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the confirmed result and Antonelli’s demonstrated dominance in this Mercedes-powered outing. Potential shifts in similar future scenarios could arise from mechanical failures, adverse weather, or grid penalties, though none materialized here to alter the outcome.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,103,472
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli secured the Italian Grand Prix victory at Monza through an exceptional recovery from 19th on the grid after an engine-related penalty, leveraging superior pace, a favorable tire strategy during a virtual safety car, and a decisive late overtake on Mercedes teammate George Russell. The 20-year-old championship leader capitalized on the high-speed Temple of Speed layout, an early red flag from Charles Leclerc’s crash, and strong race pace to become the first Italian winner there since 1966 while extending his drivers’ title advantage. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the confirmed result and Antonelli’s demonstrated dominance in this Mercedes-powered outing. Potential shifts in similar future scenarios could arise from mechanical failures, adverse weather, or grid penalties, though none materialized here to alter the outcome.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 13, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1,103,472
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, followed by "Alexander Albon" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Albon" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.