Alabama’s 1st Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Barry Moore’s Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in August 2026 when former Rep. Jerry Carl defeated remaining challengers under revised district lines that added Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces no primary opposition and minimal fundraising. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or recent events favoring Democrats underpin the 94.5% Republican consensus. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
2%
$47,739 Vol.
$47,739 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,353 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$26,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama’s 1st Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Barry Moore’s Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in August 2026 when former Rep. Jerry Carl defeated remaining challengers under revised district lines that added Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces no primary opposition and minimal fundraising. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or recent events favoring Democrats underpin the 94.5% Republican consensus. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,739End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama’s 1st Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Barry Moore’s Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in August 2026 when former Rep. Jerry Carl defeated remaining challengers under revised district lines that added Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces no primary opposition and minimal fundraising. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or recent events favoring Democrats underpin the 94.5% Republican consensus. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,739End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama’s 1st Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17 and has been rated Solid Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Barry Moore’s Senate bid, drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in August 2026 when former Rep. Jerry Carl defeated remaining challengers under revised district lines that added Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces no primary opposition and minimal fundraising. These structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or recent events favoring Democrats underpin the 94.5% Republican consensus. A late scandal, health issue, or unprecedented Democratic turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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