Moonshot predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

$2M Vol.

$329K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 25 days

83%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$329K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Crypto·FDV

Slingshot FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$10.5K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

52%

$8M

$10.5K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

$1M Vol.

$71.7K today

$897K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

63%

Anthropic

$1M Vol.

$71.7K today

$897K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

$180K Vol.

$396K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

76%

Anthropic

$180K Vol.

$396K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$41.6K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

91%

45%+

$41.6K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

$219K Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

35%

Moonshot

$219K Vol.

$54.9K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

$89.3K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

81%

Anthropic

$89.3K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·Big Tech

Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?

$383 Vol.

$315 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

11%

$383 Vol.

$315 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

$113K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

75%

OpenAI

$113K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

$44.2K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

92%

Anthropic

$44.2K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Kimi K4 released by…?

$16.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31, 2026

$16.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

$57.5K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

65%

Anthropic

$57.5K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

$61.6K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

54%

OpenAI

$61.6K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Crypto·Pre Market

Will Slingshot launch a token by ___?

$13.2K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

90%

December 31, 2027

$13.2K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

$78.5K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

35%

OpenAI

$78.5K Vol.

$38.6K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

$24.8K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

80%

Anthropic

$24.8K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·Big Tech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

$11.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$11.6K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

$184K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

81%

Anthropic

$184K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Tech·AI

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

$143K Vol.

$90.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

31%

OpenAI

$143K Vol.

$90.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Science

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$938K Vol.

$77.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

December 31, 2026

$938K Vol.

$77.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Moonshot.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Moonshot that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Moonshot predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Moonshot shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Moonshot prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Which company has the best AI model end of September?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Moonshot prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Moonshot predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Moonshot prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Moonshot markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Moonshot prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Moonshot predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Moonshot odds?

Can I track Moonshot predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Moonshot markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Moonshot prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Moonshot markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Moonshot prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Moonshot predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Moonshot odds?

Can I track Moonshot predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Moonshot markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Moonshot predictions & odds