Gaza predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Israel

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

$1M Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

26%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

$186K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$186K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

$756K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

11%

December 31

$756K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Geopolitics·Israel

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

$3.0K Vol.

$527 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$3.0K Vol.

$527 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Africa

Nasarawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$15.1K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

72%

Aliyu Wadada Ahmed

$15.1K Vol.

$60.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Geopolitics·Abraham Accords

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

$2M Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Somaliland

$2M Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

$4M Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

378

Ends in 4 months

23%

December 31, 2026

$4M Vol.

$57.2K Liq.

378

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

$303K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$303K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Abraham Accords

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

$3.2K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

$3.2K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

$4M Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

979

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

979

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

$3M Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

357

Ends in 4 months

21%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

357

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

$90.5K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$90.5K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·International Politics

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

$99.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

13%

$99.4K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Geopolitics·Israel

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

$142K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

13%

December 31

$142K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

$72.9K Vol.

$169 Liq.

89%

December 31

$72.9K Vol.

$169 Liq.

Sports·Games

Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Zamalek SC - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$258 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$258 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Geopolitics·Putin

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$2M Vol.

$93.0K today

$346K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$93.0K today

$346K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

$7M Vol.

$348K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

86%

$7M Vol.

$348K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Ghazl El Mahalla SC vs. Zamalek SC

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

48%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Geopolitics·International Affairs

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

$554 Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

22%

$554 Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gaza.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Gaza that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $24.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 86% chance to 4. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gaza predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Gaza shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Gaza prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Gaza prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Gaza predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Gaza prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Gaza markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Gaza prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Gaza predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Gaza odds?

Can I track Gaza predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Gaza markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Gaza prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Gaza markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Gaza prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Gaza predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Gaza odds?

Can I track Gaza predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Gaza markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Gaza predictions & odds