Arrest predictions & odds

Politics·Arrest

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

$292K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

December 31

$292K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

$3.3K Vol.

$645 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$3.3K Vol.

$645 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Bill Gates

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

$2.8K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.8K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Independence

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

$2.8K Vol.

$357 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

$2.8K Vol.

$357 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Arrest

Evo Morales arrested by...?

$42.1K Vol.

$613 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

September 30

$42.1K Vol.

$613 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Politics·Arrest

Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30?

$22 Vol.

$116 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

$22 Vol.

$116 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Politics·Viktor Orban

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

$34.9K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

10%

$34.9K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Crime

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

$84.9K Vol.

$71.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

61%

October 31

$84.9K Vol.

$71.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·James Comey

Who will be arrested before 2027?

$406K Vol.

$349K Liq.

21%

John Brennan

$406K Vol.

$349K Liq.

Geopolitics·Israel

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

$72.9K Vol.

$169 Liq.

89%

December 31

$72.9K Vol.

$169 Liq.

Politics·Cuba

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

$823K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$823K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Israel

Netanyahu arrested by…?

$24.8K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$24.8K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·South Korea

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$540K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$540K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Cuba

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?

$66.1K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$66.1K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Obama

Obama arrested before 2027?

$21.9K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$21.9K Vol.

$23.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Maduro

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

$3M Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

December 31

$3M Vol.

$25.2K Liq.

World·South Korea

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$202K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$202K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Mexico

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

$30.6K Vol.

$311 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

39%

December 31

$30.6K Vol.

$311 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$81.3K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$81.3K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Hong Kong

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$380K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31, 2026

$380K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Arrest.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Arrest that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Andrew Tate released from custody by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Yoon out of custody before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Arrest predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Arrest shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Arrest prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Andrew Tate released from custody by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Arrest prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Arrest predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Arrest prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Arrest markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Arrest prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Arrest predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Arrest odds?

Can I track Arrest predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Arrest markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Arrest predictions & odds