Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, alongside an active domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. He completed 98 days of testimony in June 2026, after which judges reiterated evidentiary concerns over the sole bribery count and scheduled accelerated hearings starting in October. Israel rejects ICC jurisdiction, no member state has enforced the warrant, and U.S. policy under President Trump includes sanctions on ICC personnel plus explicit non-enforcement assurances. Traders assign low probabilities to arrest by late 2026, reflecting Netanyahu’s status as sitting prime minister, limited practical enforcement options, and the trial’s extended timeline toward possible closing arguments and verdict. Upcoming UN General Assembly attendance and ongoing coalition dynamics represent additional near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$24,779 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
<1%
December 31
7%
$24,779 Vol.
September 30
$18,525 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$6,254 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, alongside an active domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. He completed 98 days of testimony in June 2026, after which judges reiterated evidentiary concerns over the sole bribery count and scheduled accelerated hearings starting in October. Israel rejects ICC jurisdiction, no member state has enforced the warrant, and U.S. policy under President Trump includes sanctions on ICC personnel plus explicit non-enforcement assurances. Traders assign low probabilities to arrest by late 2026, reflecting Netanyahu’s status as sitting prime minister, limited practical enforcement options, and the trial’s extended timeline toward possible closing arguments and verdict. Upcoming UN General Assembly attendance and ongoing coalition dynamics represent additional near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
Volume
$24,779End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, alongside an active domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. He completed 98 days of testimony in June 2026, after which judges reiterated evidentiary concerns over the sole bribery count and scheduled accelerated hearings starting in October. Israel rejects ICC jurisdiction, no member state has enforced the warrant, and U.S. policy under President Trump includes sanctions on ICC personnel plus explicit non-enforcement assurances. Traders assign low probabilities to arrest by late 2026, reflecting Netanyahu’s status as sitting prime minister, limited practical enforcement options, and the trial’s extended timeline toward possible closing arguments and verdict. Upcoming UN General Assembly attendance and ongoing coalition dynamics represent additional near-term variables.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,779End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Benjamin Netanyahu faces an outstanding ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity tied to Gaza operations, alongside an active domestic corruption trial in Jerusalem District Court on charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust in Cases 1000, 2000, and 4000. He completed 98 days of testimony in June 2026, after which judges reiterated evidentiary concerns over the sole bribery count and scheduled accelerated hearings starting in October. Israel rejects ICC jurisdiction, no member state has enforced the warrant, and U.S. policy under President Trump includes sanctions on ICC personnel plus explicit non-enforcement assurances. Traders assign low probabilities to arrest by late 2026, reflecting Netanyahu’s status as sitting prime minister, limited practical enforcement options, and the trial’s extended timeline toward possible closing arguments and verdict. Upcoming UN General Assembly attendance and ongoing coalition dynamics represent additional near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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