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icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 62%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Josh Hokit 1.9%

Alexander Volkov <1%

Polymarket

$339,438 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 62%

Ciryl Gane 28%

Josh Hokit 1.9%

Alexander Volkov <1%

Polymarket

$339,438 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$9,089 Vol.

62%

Ciryl Gane

$7,453 Vol.

28%

Josh Hokit

$802 Vol.

2%

Alexander Volkov

$27,652 Vol.

1%

Serghei Spivac

$581 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,738 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,830 Vol.

<1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$555 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$395 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$521 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$439 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,207 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$584 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,592 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Jon Jones's 2025 retirement and enters the final months of 2026 as the clear market leader due to his elite finishing rate and prior dominance, including multiple first-round stoppages. His October 2025 no-contest against Ciryl Gane from eye pokes and subsequent surgeries have delayed a defense, yet recent reports confirm Aspinall has resumed full training with additional medical clearance pending for a potential unification bout. Gane, the interim champion after his June 2026 TKO of Alex Pereira, sits second on strength of that win and stylistic advantages in a rematch, though uncertainty over timing and Aspinall's health keeps his implied probability lower. Lower-ranked contenders like Josh Hokit reflect limited title-path opportunities in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$339,438
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Jon Jones's 2025 retirement and enters the final months of 2026 as the clear market leader due to his elite finishing rate and prior dominance, including multiple first-round stoppages. His October 2025 no-contest against Ciryl Gane from eye pokes and subsequent surgeries have delayed a defense, yet recent reports confirm Aspinall has resumed full training with additional medical clearance pending for a potential unification bout. Gane, the interim champion after his June 2026 TKO of Alex Pereira, sits second on strength of that win and stylistic advantages in a rematch, though uncertainty over timing and Aspinall's health keeps his implied probability lower. Lower-ranked contenders like Josh Hokit reflect limited title-path opportunities in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$339,438
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Aspinall" at 62%, followed by "Ciryl Gane" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $339.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Tom Aspinall" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ciryl Gane" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.