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icon for UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?

UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?

icon for UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?

UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?

Nate Diaz 50%

Jorge Masvidal 27%

Ian Garry 25%

Max Holloway 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nate Diaz 50%

Jorge Masvidal 27%

Ian Garry 25%

Max Holloway 10%

Polymarket
NEW

Nate Diaz

$25 Vol.

50%

Jorge Masvidal

$5 Vol.

27%

Ian Garry

$5 Vol.

25%

Max Holloway

$125 Vol.

10%

Michael Chandler

$45 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Conor McGregor’s next UFC bout remains highly uncertain following his first-round TKO loss to Max Holloway at UFC 329 in July 2026, where an early knee injury (reported as a torn ACL and meniscus) sidelined him and prompted Dana White to project roughly a year-long absence. With one fight left on his current contract and a tentative April 2027 timeline floated, no opponent has been confirmed, leaving trader consensus fragmented across names like Nate Diaz, Ian Garry, Jorge Masvidal, a Holloway rematch, Michael Chandler, and others. Recent developments, including McGregor’s emphasis on surgery and prehab plus White’s comments on multiple scenarios depending on recovery and division positioning, sustain the tight spread as no single matchup has gained clear momentum amid the extended layoff and roster fluidity.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$205
End Date
Aug 10, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Conor McGregor’s next UFC bout remains highly uncertain following his first-round TKO loss to Max Holloway at UFC 329 in July 2026, where an early knee injury (reported as a torn ACL and meniscus) sidelined him and prompted Dana White to project roughly a year-long absence. With one fight left on his current contract and a tentative April 2027 timeline floated, no opponent has been confirmed, leaving trader consensus fragmented across names like Nate Diaz, Ian Garry, Jorge Masvidal, a Holloway rematch, Michael Chandler, and others. Recent developments, including McGregor’s emphasis on surgery and prehab plus White’s comments on multiple scenarios depending on recovery and division positioning, sustain the tight spread as no single matchup has gained clear momentum amid the extended layoff and roster fluidity.

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$205
End Date
Aug 10, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 3:37 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nate Diaz" at 50%, followed by "Jorge Masvidal" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?" is "Nate Diaz" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jorge Masvidal" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.