Charles Oliveira has no fight booked as of early September 2026 after withdrawing from a planned UFC 331 bout with Arman Tsarukyan due to a teammate’s death, leaving the lightweight veteran’s return timeline open-ended into November or December. Trader consensus places Justin Gaethje at the front with 10.2% implied probability, reflecting Oliveira’s repeated public calls for a rematch to unify the BMF belt he won from Max Holloway with Gaethje’s undisputed lightweight title. Paddy Pimblett sits close behind at 9.8% on the strength of his recent momentum and explicit mention by Oliveira’s coach as a viable BMF option. Lower probabilities for Benoît Saint Denis, Maurício Ruffy—who replaced Oliveira against Tsarukyan—and others capture a crowded division where recent form, ranking proximity, and stylistic appeal remain secondary to the absence of any confirmed matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPaddy Pimblett 9.9%
Justin Gaethje 8.4%
Benoît Saint Denis 6.0%
Maurício Ruffy 4.3%
$194,206 Vol.
$194,206 Vol.
Paddy Pimblett
10%
Justin Gaethje
8%
Benoît Saint Denis
6%
Maurício Ruffy
4%
Ilia Topuria
4%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Islam Makhachev
1%
Conor McGregor
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Paddy Pimblett 9.9%
Justin Gaethje 8.4%
Benoît Saint Denis 6.0%
Maurício Ruffy 4.3%
$194,206 Vol.
$194,206 Vol.
Paddy Pimblett
10%
Justin Gaethje
8%
Benoît Saint Denis
6%
Maurício Ruffy
4%
Ilia Topuria
4%
Arman Tsarukyan
3%
Islam Makhachev
1%
Conor McGregor
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market Opened: Mar 6, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Charles Oliveira is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Charles Oliveira has no fight booked as of early September 2026 after withdrawing from a planned UFC 331 bout with Arman Tsarukyan due to a teammate’s death, leaving the lightweight veteran’s return timeline open-ended into November or December. Trader consensus places Justin Gaethje at the front with 10.2% implied probability, reflecting Oliveira’s repeated public calls for a rematch to unify the BMF belt he won from Max Holloway with Gaethje’s undisputed lightweight title. Paddy Pimblett sits close behind at 9.8% on the strength of his recent momentum and explicit mention by Oliveira’s coach as a viable BMF option. Lower probabilities for Benoît Saint Denis, Maurício Ruffy—who replaced Oliveira against Tsarukyan—and others capture a crowded division where recent form, ranking proximity, and stylistic appeal remain secondary to the absence of any confirmed matchup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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