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Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

icon for Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$281,118 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$281,118 Vol.

Polymarket

Alexandre Pantoja

$1,340 Vol.

50%

Ciryl Gane

$1,605 Vol.

25%

Merab Dvalishvili

$1,193 Vol.

36%

Nassourdine Imavov

$119 Vol.

32%

Dricus Du Plessis

$129 Vol.

16%

Aljamain Sterling

$216 Vol.

12%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$1,526 Vol.

10%

Diego Lopes

$5,291 Vol.

10%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$57 Vol.

10%

Magomed Ankalaev

$1,305 Vol.

10%

Charles Oliveira

$118 Vol.

10%

Manel Kape

$45,812 Vol.

9%

Arman Tsarukyan

$3,502 Vol.

8%

Sergei Pavlovich

$209 Vol.

8%

Sean O'Malley

$1,465 Vol.

13%

Ian Machado Garry

$2,212 Vol.

7%

Kamaru Usman

$6,373 Vol.

6%

Yair Rodriguez

$40 Vol.

5%

Max Holloway

$6 Vol.

16%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$1,598 Vol.

5%

Jiří Procházka

$3,724 Vol.

4%

Belal Muhammad

$435 Vol.

3%

Leon Edwards

$41,227 Vol.

2%

Paddy Pimblett

$4,154 Vol.

13%

Cory Sandhagen

$302 Vol.

2%

Alexander Volkov

$672 Vol.

10%

Jack Della Maddalena

$49,209 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean Strickland's split-decision victory over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026 to capture the middleweight title has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on him as a 2026 champion. Subsequent title changes, including Justin Gaethje's upset TKO of Ilia Topuria for the lightweight belt and Ciryl Gane's interim heavyweight stoppage of Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250, have expanded the field while reinforcing the market's focus on confirmed 2026 titleholders. Upcoming flyweight unification between Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331, plus featherweight and welterweight defenses, could introduce additional outcomes before year-end, though recent form, injury recoveries, and division volatility continue to shape implied probabilities around established champions and top contenders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$281,118
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sean Strickland's split-decision victory over Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 328 in May 2026 to capture the middleweight title has driven trader consensus to near-certainty on him as a 2026 champion. Subsequent title changes, including Justin Gaethje's upset TKO of Ilia Topuria for the lightweight belt and Ciryl Gane's interim heavyweight stoppage of Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250, have expanded the field while reinforcing the market's focus on confirmed 2026 titleholders. Upcoming flyweight unification between Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331, plus featherweight and welterweight defenses, could introduce additional outcomes before year-end, though recent form, injury recoveries, and division volatility continue to shape implied probabilities around established champions and top contenders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$281,118
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $281.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Sean Strickland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.