Tom Aspinall holds the edge in the market as the reigning undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, with traders pricing in his strong likelihood of returning from eye surgery and either unifying or retaining the title before year-end despite an extended layoff. Ciryl Gane sits second after capturing the interim belt via second-round TKO over Alex Pereira in June, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for any unification bout, though recent comments from the Frenchman highlight uncertainty around Aspinall’s readiness and openness to alternatives. Lower-priced contenders like Josh Hokit and Alexander Volkov trail due to recent wins but lack the direct title-path momentum or ranking proximity seen with the top two. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds around Aspinall’s established dominance and recovery timeline versus Gane’s interim status and stylistic advantages in a potential rematch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTom Aspinall 63%
Ciryl Gane 28%
Josh Hokit 1.8%
Alexander Volkov <1%
$339,444 Vol.
$339,444 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
63%
Ciryl Gane
28%
Josh Hokit
2%
Alexander Volkov
1%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Tom Aspinall 63%
Ciryl Gane 28%
Josh Hokit 1.8%
Alexander Volkov <1%
$339,444 Vol.
$339,444 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
63%
Ciryl Gane
28%
Josh Hokit
2%
Alexander Volkov
1%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall holds the edge in the market as the reigning undisputed UFC heavyweight champion, with traders pricing in his strong likelihood of returning from eye surgery and either unifying or retaining the title before year-end despite an extended layoff. Ciryl Gane sits second after capturing the interim belt via second-round TKO over Alex Pereira in June, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for any unification bout, though recent comments from the Frenchman highlight uncertainty around Aspinall’s readiness and openness to alternatives. Lower-priced contenders like Josh Hokit and Alexander Volkov trail due to recent wins but lack the direct title-path momentum or ranking proximity seen with the top two. Market pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds around Aspinall’s established dominance and recovery timeline versus Gane’s interim status and stylistic advantages in a potential rematch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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