HBO Max’s commanding lead with 122 nominations, anchored by 25 for medical drama The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status for the most 2026 Emmy wins. Historical patterns show the platform with the largest nomination haul nearly always claims the top prize, giving HBO Max a decisive edge over Netflix’s 111 nods led by Beef’s sophomore season and Apple TV’s record 87–89 bids fueled by Widow’s Bay and Pluribus. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, limited upside remains for late momentum shifts, though strong performances in key categories could still influence exact margins among lower-probability contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 11.8%
Hulu <1%
$76,070 Vol.
$76,070 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
HBO Max
75%
Netflix
15%
Apple TV
12%
Hulu
<1%
Disney+
<1%
Prime Video
<1%
Peacock
<1%
Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 11.8%
Hulu <1%
$76,070 Vol.
$76,070 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
HBO Max
$32,137 Vol.
75%
Netflix
$23,726 Vol.
15%
Apple TV
$17,105 Vol.
12%
Hulu
$648 Vol.
<1%
Disney+
$678 Vol.
<1%
Prime Video
$462 Vol.
<1%
Peacock
$675 Vol.
<1%
Paramount+
$637 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.HBO Max’s commanding lead with 122 nominations, anchored by 25 for medical drama The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status for the most 2026 Emmy wins. Historical patterns show the platform with the largest nomination haul nearly always claims the top prize, giving HBO Max a decisive edge over Netflix’s 111 nods led by Beef’s sophomore season and Apple TV’s record 87–89 bids fueled by Widow’s Bay and Pluribus. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, limited upside remains for late momentum shifts, though strong performances in key categories could still influence exact margins among lower-probability contenders.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Volume
$76,070End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.HBO Max’s commanding lead with 122 nominations, anchored by 25 for medical drama The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status for the most 2026 Emmy wins. Historical patterns show the platform with the largest nomination haul nearly always claims the top prize, giving HBO Max a decisive edge over Netflix’s 111 nods led by Beef’s sophomore season and Apple TV’s record 87–89 bids fueled by Widow’s Bay and Pluribus. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, limited upside remains for late momentum shifts, though strong performances in key categories could still influence exact margins among lower-probability contenders.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$76,070End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...HBO Max’s commanding lead with 122 nominations, anchored by 25 for medical drama The Pitt and 24 for the final season of Hacks, has solidified trader consensus around its frontrunner status for the most 2026 Emmy wins. Historical patterns show the platform with the largest nomination haul nearly always claims the top prize, giving HBO Max a decisive edge over Netflix’s 111 nods led by Beef’s sophomore season and Apple TV’s record 87–89 bids fueled by Widow’s Bay and Pluribus. With final-round voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony imminent, limited upside remains for late momentum shifts, though strong performances in key categories could still influence exact margins among lower-probability contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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