Strong presales momentum and director Zach Cregger’s horror credentials are anchoring trader sentiment for the September 18 opening of the $80 million Resident Evil reboot. Early tracking from Deadline and Box Office Pro centers around $35 million domestically, yet robust first-day ticket sales and IMAX/PLF support have lifted optimistic forecasts toward $50 million or higher, enough to eclipse the franchise’s prior record of $26.6 million set by Resident Evil: Afterlife. The tight spread across 50–70 million bins reflects uncertainty over how Cregger’s elevated profile from Weapons will translate versus recent underperformers like Mortal Kombat II. With the Fantastic Fest premiere just days away, final tracking adjustments and word-of-mouth from genre audiences will likely determine whether the film lands in the mid-50s or pushes toward the higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office
<50m 18.6%
60-65m 18%
65-70m 18%
70m+ 18%
<50m
19%
50-55m
8%
55-60m
17%
60-65m
18%
65-70m
18%
70m+
18%
<50m 18.6%
60-65m 18%
65-70m 18%
70m+ 18%
<50m
19%
50-55m
8%
55-60m
17%
60-65m
18%
65-70m
18%
70m+
18%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales momentum and director Zach Cregger’s horror credentials are anchoring trader sentiment for the September 18 opening of the $80 million Resident Evil reboot. Early tracking from Deadline and Box Office Pro centers around $35 million domestically, yet robust first-day ticket sales and IMAX/PLF support have lifted optimistic forecasts toward $50 million or higher, enough to eclipse the franchise’s prior record of $26.6 million set by Resident Evil: Afterlife. The tight spread across 50–70 million bins reflects uncertainty over how Cregger’s elevated profile from Weapons will translate versus recent underperformers like Mortal Kombat II. With the Fantastic Fest premiere just days away, final tracking adjustments and word-of-mouth from genre audiences will likely determine whether the film lands in the mid-50s or pushes toward the higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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